2026 Hugo Award Fiction Shortlists: A Comparative Analysis

So today saw the Hugo Award shortlist announcement, published on LA Worldcon social media feeds at 10am PST. Something I always like to eyeball which fiction finalists cross over with the Nebula shortlist, as well as my own nominating ballot. Generally, my personal track record is not good. The Nebulas and Hugos end up with a little more synchronicity, I assume because many SFWA members also nominate for the Hugos, and perhaps also because the Nebula shortlist is usually announced a couple of weeks before the Hugo nominating period ends, and some Hugo voters may utilize it as a last-minute reading list. However, this year these categories had a lower than usual finalist concurrence. Maybe a trend? Or just a blip? We will see in the coming years.

My Hugo Ballot for Best Series

Liaden Universe, Sharon Lee and Steve Miller

Old Man’s War, John Scalzi

The Sun-Eater, Christopher Ruocchio

White Space, Elizabeth Bear

Honor Harrington, David Weber

The Chronicles of Osreth, Katherine Addison

The Craft Wars, Max Gladstone

Emily Wilde, Heather Fawcett

October Daye, Seanan McGuire

Old Man’s War, John Scalzi

White Space, Elizabeth Bear

There is, of course, no Nebula category for Best Series.

I thought the new Old Man’s War novel was just so-so, but I felt the nomination would reflect the high quality of the previous entries in the series. I thought its nomination was a foregone conclusion, while I had zero expectation that the other four series would make the shortlist. What a pleasant surprise to see White Space there as well!

I’ve read The Goblin Emperor and The Witness for the Dead, both from Addison’s Osreth universe. Both were perfectly fine novels (I liked the latter a smidge more than the former) but I did not love them quite as much as other Hugo voters seem to.

I read the first two Craft Sequence novels a number of years ago and enjoyed both, but for whatever reason did not remain devoted to the series. The Craft Wars is a new series presumably set in the same universe. I hope to at least read the first book, Dead Country, before casting my final vote, though I tend to favor the Best Novel and Novella categories for my catch-up reading, so we’ll see if there’s time.

I have to admit I ignored the Emily Wilde books by Heather Fawcett because titles like “Emily Wilde’s Encyclopaedia of Faeries” sounded a bit “twee” and “cozy” for my tastes. But I may give it a shot if it’s in the voter packet.

I have never read anything in the October Daye series by Seanan McGuire, but I have read a few books by her that I’ve liked (and some others, less so). The series has been nominated before (three times, I think?) and I declined to read it each time, because of my previously stated preference for catching up on other categories first. Maybe this will be the year! I do love a good urban fantasy novel, and they don’t get enough Hugo love.

My Best Series Hugo Ratio: 40%

Nebula Shortlist for Best Short Story

“Because I Held His Name Like a Key”, Aimee Ogden (Strange Horizons 16 Jun 2025)

“In My Country”, Thomas Ha (Clarkesworld Apr 2025)

“Laser Eyes Ain’t Everything”, Effie Seiberg (Diabolical Plots May 2025)

“Six People to Revise You”, J. R. Dawson (Uncanny Jan/Feb 2025)

“The Tawlish Island Songbook of the Dead”, E. M. Linden (PodCastle 18 Feb 2025)

“Through the Machine”, P. A. Cornell (Lightspeed May 2025)

My Hugo Ballot for Best Short Story

“In My Country”, Thomas Ha (Clarkesworld Apr 2025)

“In the Halls of the Makeshift King”, Tobias S. Buckell (Asimov’s Jul/Aug 2025)

“Landline” by Kelly Robson (Reactor Mar 5, 2025)

“Prime Purpose”, Steve Rasnic Tem (Analog Jan/Feb 2025)

“Woolly”, Carrie Vaughn (Asimov’s May/June 2025)

“10 Visions of the Future; or, Self-Care for the End of Days”, Samantha Mills (Uncanny Mar/Apr 2025)

“In My Country”, Thomas Ha (Clarkesworld Apr 2025)

“Laser Eyes Ain’t Everything”, Effie Seiberg (Diabolical Plots May 2025)

“Missing Helen”, Tia Tashiro (Clarkesworld, Jul 2025)

“Six People to Revise You”, J. R. Dawson (Uncanny Jan/Feb 2025)

“Wire Mother”, Isabel J. Kim (Clarkesworld, Oct 2025)

Well if there’s one thing we can all agree on, it’s that Thomas Ha is an effin’ great writer. Though clearly, we can’t agree on much else, at least not when it comes to my ballot. Nebula and Hugo voters shared the love for stories by Seiberg and Dawson along with the aforementioned Ha.

I’ve not read the story by Seiberg, as Diabolical Plots is not on my regular roster of reading material. But it’s always nice to discover new things, so I will give it a whirl before the voting deadline.

The two Uncanny stories by Mills and Dawson are fine. I’m usually skeptical of stories with clickbait-y titles but I try not to hold it against them.

Missing Helen is a good story. It wasn’t on my ballot obviously, but I’m glad it’s there. It’s thoughtful and well written and has a neat premise with a top-shelf opening sentence.

I wasn’t a big fan of Wire Mother when I first read it, but I will give it a second go and maybe my mind will change.

Nebula to Hugo Best Short Story Ratio: 50%

My Best Short Story Ratio: 20%

Nebula Shortlist for Best Novelette

“The Life and Times of Alavira the Great as Written by Titos Pavlou and Reviewed by Two Lifelong Friends”, Eugenia Triantafyllou (Uncanny Mar/Apr 2025)

The Name Ziya, Wen-Yi Lee (Tor)

“Never Eaten Vegetables”, H. H. Pak (Clarkesworld Jan 2025)

“Our Echoes Drifting Through the Marsh”, Marie Croke (Beneath Ceaseless Skies 9 Jan 2025)

“Uncertain Sons”, Thomas Ha (Uncertain Sons)

“We Begin Where Infinity Ends”, Somto Ihezue (Clarkesworld Feb 2025)

My Hugo Ballot for Best Novelette

“Never Eaten Vegetables”, H.H. Pak (Clarkesworld Jan 2025)

“The Sack of Burley Cottage”, Rich Larson (Reactor June 25, 2025)

“The Tin Man’s Ghost”, Ray Nayler (Asimov’s May/Jun 2025)

“The Twenty-One Second God”, Peter Watts (Lightspeed June 2025)

“The Witch and the Wyrm”, Elizabeth Bear (Reactor Feb 26, 2025)

“Kaiju Agonistes”, Scott Lynch (Uncanny Magazine Jan/Feb 2025)

“Never Eaten Vegetables”, H.H. Pak (Clarkesworld Jan 2025)

“Rapport: Friendship, Solidarity, Communion, Empathy”, Martha Wells (Reactor, July 10, 2025)

“The Girl That My Mother Is Leaving Me For”, Cameron Reed (Reactor, April 2, 2025)

“The Millay Illusion”, Sarah Pinsker (Uncanny Nov/Dec 2025)

“When He Calls Your Name”, Catherynne M. Valente (Uncanny Jul/Aug 2025)

I got one right! Even after the nebula nomination, I wasn’t sure Never Eaten Vegetables would score a Hugo nod. It’s a brilliant tale: smart, poignant, a little bonkers, and with a unique SFnal premise. Barring a miracle, it will be ranked first on my final ballot.

The Kaiju story is a very fun satire of both kaiju genre tropes and 20th century global politics.

Okay so the Martha Wells Murderbot story was one I considered for my ballot, but a few years ago Wells said Murderbot had won enough awards and has been declining Hugo noms for it ever since, so I assumed that would still hold true. Thanks a lot, Martha! Not that you needed my vote anyway.

The Cameron Reed story didn’t land for me when I first read it. Maybe it will on the reread.

I will never object to a Sarah Pinsker story getting a Hugo nomination, even if this one wasn’t an absolute favorite of mine. It was still pretty good.

So, confession time. I don’t always read Uncanny “cover to cover” so to speak. I guess it doesn’t always vibe with me the way it vibes with most of the Hugo voting population. I couldn’t remember reading the Valente story so I checked back and it turned out I had skipped over the entire issue! Something new to chew on once again.

Afterthought: The Marie Croke story that was nominated for the Nebula is awesome and nearly made my ballot. In retrospect maybe I should have included it, perhaps over the Watts or Bear stories (really these decisions are hard). If it turns out that it missed the shortlist by one vote I’m going to punch myself in the dick (not really I’ll just be kind of sad).

Nebula to Hugo Best Novelette Ratio: 17% (WTF! Shocking!)

My Best Novelette Ratio: 20% (the usual)

Nebula Shortlist for Best Novella

Automatic Noodle, Annalee Newitz (Tordotcom)

But Not Too Bold, Hache Pueyo (Tordotcom)

The Death of MountainsJordan Kurella (Lethe)

“Descent”, Wole Talabi (Clarkesworld May 2025)

Disgraced Return of the Kap’s Needle, Renan Bernardo (Dark Matter INK)

The River Has Roots, Amal El-Mohtar (Tordotcom; Arcadia)

My Hugo Ballot for Best Novella

Extremity, Nicholas Binge (Tordotcom)

“Quantum Ghosts”, Nancy Kress (Asimov’s Mar/Apr 2025)

The Adventure of the Demonic Ox, Lois McMaster Bujold (Spectrum)

“The Apologists” by Tade Thompson (Clarkesworld Nov 2025)

The Dagger in Vichy, Alastair Reynolds (Subterranean)

Automatic Noodle, Annalee Newitz (Tordotcom)

Cinder House, Freya Marske (Tordotcom)

Murder by Memory, Olivia Waite (Tordotcom)

The River Has Roots, Amal El-Mohtar (Tordotcom)

The Summer War, Naomi Novik (Del Rey)

What Stalks the Deep, T. Kingfisher (Nightfire)

This is always the lost category for me. I literally haven’t successfully nominated a single work in this category in probably a decade (I’ll have to check). I think the reason for this is that I’m not addicted to Tordotcom novellas like everyone else is. Not always my cuppa. But even when I find one that is my cuppa (like Extremity) it never ends up making the shortlist. Oh well lots of reading to do before the deadline (again).

Though honestly Murder by Memory looks like it’s right up my alley, I’m kicking myself for not having read it yet. I’m a fan of Novik, too. I’d heard about The Summer War but havn’t got around to picking it up.

Nebula to Hugo Best Novella Ratio: 33%

My Best Novella Ratio: BIG FAT DONUT HOLE

Nebula Shortlist for Best Novel

The Buffalo Hunter Hunter, Stephen Graham Jones (Saga)

Death of the Author, Nnedi Okorafor (Morrow)

The Incandescent, Emily Tesh (Tor)

Katabasis, R. F. Kuang (Harper Voyager US; Harper Voyager UK)

Sour Cherry, Natalia Theodoridou (Tin House)

Wearing the Lion, John Wiswell (DAW)

When We Were Real, Daryl Gregory (Saga)

My Hugo Ballot for Best Novel

A Drop of Corruption, Robert Jackson Bennett (Del Rey)

Esperance, Adam Oyebanji (DAW)

Shroud, Adrian Tchaikovsky (Orbit US)

The Devils, Joe Abercrombie (Tor)

The Folded Sky, Elizabeth Bear (Saga)

A Drop of Corruption, Robert Jackson Bennett (Del Rey)

Death of the Author, Nnedi Okorafor (William Morrow)

Shroud, Adrian Tchaikovsky (Orbit US)

The Everlasting, Alix E. Harrow (Tor US)

The Incandescent, Emily Tesh (Tor US)

The Raven Scholar, Antonia Hodgson (Orbit US)

Hey, not bad! Though based on last year’s results, Bennett and Tchaikovsky were probably pretty good bets. I thought The Devils and The Folded Sky both had a fighting chance of making the list (we’ll see when they release the stats). Esperance was a long shot; DAW hasn’t had much of a presence at the Hugos for a while now and I don’t think Oyebanji is really on Worldcon’s radar. It’s a phenomenal book, though. Y’all should read it!

BTW I am STUNNED that Katabasis was not a Hugo finalist. I thought it was a virtual lock.

I haven’t read any of the other nominees. The Raven Scholar has been on my to-read pile for some time. The other three I’ve been circling but likely would have passed on (so many books to read!) if not for the nominations.

Nebula to Hugo Best Novel Ratio: 33%

My Best Novel Ratio: 40%

Anyway, happy reading WSFS people! See you at LA Worldcon!

Novel Review: The Third Rule of Time Travel by Philip Fracassi

Rating: 5.5 out of 10.

The title of this novel is a marketing department’s dream come true. It’s the kind of title that tells potential readers what the book is about without them even having to read the synopsis. The book is about time travel (obviously). There are rules to traveling through time and the third one is clearly important, and, by implication, will almost certainly be broken. The butterfly (effect) on the cover is also a nice piece of foreshadowing. I fully admit that I judged this book by its cover before I even opened it.

What actually occurs between those covers is a bit of a mixed bag. The premise is straightforward enough: Beth Darlow is a physicist who, along with her late husband Colson, invented a machine that can transport a person’s consciousness back in time to an earlier point in one’s life, where according to the infamous third rule, one can only observe said past event, but cannot affect it. Beth is the only one who is allowed to use the machine, and upon returning from one of her trips she must answer an identical set of questions – and hopefully give an identical set of answers – to those asked before the she activated the machine, to ensure the third rule has held true. Beth also has a sufficiently adorable daughter, Isabelle, who she loves deeply but neglects too often in favor of her work, and an insufferable boss who is trying to get her sidelined from the project. Additionally, there is the question of why Beth’s trips are only sending her back to her most traumatic memories, specifically the plane crash that she survived as a child while her entire family perished, and the night her husband died in a car accident. These elements provide ample dramatic tension to carry the reader’s interest through much of the novel.

The biggest problem with the novel is that most lay, non-scientist persons are already aware of the “observer effect”, so the fact that none of the scientists in the story (least of all Beth) points out the fundamental absurdity of relying on this untenable third rule that threatens their very existence is baffling. The novel’s big twist relies entirely on this fallacy and leads to Beth’s Homer Simpson moment (“Doh! Why didn’t I think of this before!”), unintentionally acknowledging the very fatal flaw that undermines the novel’s premise from the start. Even for readers who were not aware of the observer effect when they picked up the book, the fact that the scientist protagonist fully admits to “forgetting” a fundamental principal that every scientist in the world is aware of is a problem that is difficult to look past.

My interest in the remainder of the novel deflated like a balloon after this. What had otherwise been a well-plotted story with solid, relatable characters turned into a bit of a letdown. Discovering that the answer to the one question that had been bugging me throughout the book – why is no one addressing the observer effect? – is that the author was just hoping I wouldn’t notice, is tough to overlook.

Short Story Review: “Child of the Mountain” by Gunnar de Winter

Clarkesworld Magazine Issue 220, January 2025 /Story Link/

Chime is a bioengineered, possibly immortal child who serves the sisters of a religious order on a remote mountain. Chime is tasked with initiating the resurrection of each sister after death, by retrieving a “seed” from their skulls once the vultures have picked their bones clean. Chime then regrows the sister’s nervous system and places it in a printed body. However, over the years, Chime has developed her own ideas on how best to advance the order’s goals.

This is dark and bloody dystopian SF, though maybe not quite horror. The descriptive language is excellent, if grisly. I was curious about the guiding philosophy of the sisters, but scant evidence beyond a few suggestive allusions is present. This vagueness of purpose colored by reaction to the story, and to the decisions Chime makes. There is a reference to an “infinite wheel”, suggesting the cycle of death and resurrection is central to whatever it is they are devoted to. Otherwise, if the sisters are capable of creating an immortal body like Chime’s, why not resurrect themselves into one after death? The sister’s seem content to observe world calamity from their perch and do nothing about it, so perhaps the author is suggesting that religious devotion is self -indulgent and regressive. This begs the question of what Chime expects to achieve by changing the rules of the game. The ending suggests that Chime will “do more than observe” but still with little indication of her ultimate goals. It left a bit of a sour taste in my mouth.

Novelette Review: “Strange Events at Fletcher and Front!” by Tom R. Pike

Analog Science Fiction & Fact, January/February 2025

George is an inventor in early 20th century New York. When the novelette opens, he is being chased by thugs he is certain were sent by one of the big energy barons (Rockefeller, Edison, or Frick) to abduct him. Just as the out-of-shape George runs out of steam, a strange, masked “intervenor” appears through a strange door and dispatches George’s would be abductors, using an impossible, futuristic energy weapon. Being a fan of H.G. Wells, George believes the intervenor to be a time traveler from the future. But has this person from the future prevented George’s abduction with good or evil intent? When George reads an obscure article suggesting that burning fossil fuels could have an adverse effect on global temperatures, he believes his rescuer meant for him to continue developing his “solar power generator” for mass production.

This is the second story in this issue of Analog, and the second to concern itself with climate change. I like that many such solution-based approaches to the subject matter are becoming commonplace in our oldest continuous science fiction publication. As for the story itself, it is of adequate quality: good character work, clear and concise prose, steady pacing. While plenty of obstacles in George’s way are referenced as the story progresses, we actually see little of it in action. The result is a story with a lot of conflict but little tension. While we might presume the mysterious time traveler achieved their goal, they never reappear, and the open ending perhaps suggests the author could revisit this alternate timeline in a future tale.

Short Story Review: “Our Lady of the Gyre” by Doug Franklin

Analog Science Fiction and Fact, January/February 2025

Mel, who narrates the story, sails a ship around the Pacific that submerges captured carbon in the ocean in the form of diatoms. The “Lady” referred to in the title is an orbiting artificial intelligence who sends warnings about potential weather disasters. Years before, Mel’s wife was killed during one such disaster. Now, another weather event looms just as Mel takes on two young deck hands to help on his latest drift around the gyre (a ring-like rotation of ocean currents).

There is quite a lot going on in the world of this story, and the way the author gradually broadens the scope and scale of its background is the story’s best attribute. Our Lady of the Gyre is one of several AIs that take on a mythological importance in this future, and are frequently the subject of poetry and performance art, a detail I enjoyed a great deal. The narrator also refers to a sort of information chaos brought on by a reliance on generative AI, making it difficult for society to distinguish between fact and falsehood, and I wish the author had utilized this idea a little more than he did. The characters are agreeable and well-drawn and the plot moves along at a steady clip, though is a little light on suspense and surprise.

Short Story Review: “When There Are Two of You: A Documentary” by Zun Yu Tan

Clarkesworld Issue 220, January 2025 (Story Link)

As the title suggests, this short story is structured as a series of interviews. The interviewees are all people who use, or have used, a new technology called Sentience, which is literally a digital copy of yourself, implanted in your own head to help make you a better you. The two main interviewees are Walter Lee II, the first Android built to house a sentience, who continues on after his original self dies; and Joyce Chu, who comes to believe her Sentience may not have all the answers.

This loosely structured story is surprisingly light on tension, especially considering the premise seems built for it. The final decisions that Walter II and Joyce make are understandable, but not surprising or particularly bold. Despite the intriguing concept, the whole package didn’t quite gel for me. Joyce’s final choice regarding her Sentience made me wonder if her Sentience was really the problem. It’s hard to be sure if that was the point.

Short Story Review: “Tell Them a Story to Teach Them Kindness” by B. Pladek

Lightspeed Magazine Issue 176, January 2025 (Story Link)

Jude is working as a “Curator” for the Milwaukee school district, assigned to prompt new stories using an AI called RIGHTR. RIGHTR is designed to create stories that offer moral instruction without offending anyone. On a whim, Jude decides to send a 10th grade teacher a story written by a human author (Le Guin’s “Omelas”), assuming – correctly – that like most people this teacher, Booker, has never read a real book and wouldn’t know what it was. The story is a hit with the kids and Jude keeps passing off human-authored stories as RIGHTR-authored prompts. The ruse works brilliantly, until it doesn’t.

The story is framed as a series of messages between Jude and Booker (as well as other’s in Jude’s orbit) and I felt this was a good format for telling this particular story. The contrast between the distinctive voices of the characters and the impersonal delivery mechanism is effective, and on-theme. The point of the story is to dramatize our present-day anxieties regarding the use of AI, as well as the alarming trend among parents (and increasingly compliant school boards) to censor anything that might “upset” their children. This story works well in fulfilling this objective, and Jude’s misconception about what made his deception successful is heartbreaking. However, in the end the story does not ask anything more of the reader than to agree with its own moral purpose. Ironic, if unintended.

Short Story Review: “Not the Most Romantic Thing” by Carrie Vaughn

Tor.com, October 11, 2023

Not the Most Romantic Thing” is the fourth of Vaughn’s stories set on the bounty-hunting ship Visigoth. It is the most light-hearted and (despite the title) romantic of the tales. Set much earlier in the timeline than the other stories, it relates Graff and Ell’s first mission together when their relationship was just blossoming. This time the Visigoth is hired to extract tissue samples from a defunct lab on an asteroid scheduled for demolition. Things go sideways when the “tissue samples” give the two men a little more trouble than expected and they run the risk of missing their window to flee before the asteroid gets mulched.

The story is structured as a flashback narrated by the illegally post-human Graff, whose enhancements give him perfect recall. As such, Vaughn doesn’t bother exploiting the story’s built-in countdown clock in order to ratchet up the suspense – Graff has already indicated at the start they will make it through alive, even if readers of the previous stories need no such prompt. The story concludes in the “present”, with the two lovers remarking on that long ago mission with particular attention to a detail that could have given away the secret Graff was (at the time) so terrified of letting out. In this way the story plays as something of a postscript to its tenser, heavier-themed predecessors; a “look where we’re at now” coda to the story so far. It’s a nice addition that works best for readers who have already been following the series, though I’d be lying if I said I wouldn’t prefer the author to turn it back up to 11 the next time around.

Short Story Review: “Death is Better” by Oluwatomiwa Ajeigbe

Lightspeed Issue 158, July 2023

The narrator of this story is trying – along with his little sister – to escape the alien slavers they were sold to by their own uncle, knowing that if they are caught the penalty is death. As the title of the story suggests, this would not be the worst outcome. This is a very short, relentlessly grim tale, but the author has a gift for building suspense and writing an exciting action scene. I thought the ending was a bit of a cheat (though it certainly fits with the story’s title/theme) and I could have used more engagement with the setting, but it is a well-written and exciting story nonetheless.

Novelette Review: “Didicosm” by Greg Egan

Analog Science Fiction and Fact, July/August 2023

When she was a child, Charlotte’s father committed suicide, unable to cope with his wife’s death. His actions were largely motivated by a pop-science author’s views on the structure of the universe. As an adult scientist, Charlotte dedicates her research to disproving that author’s theories.

Egan dramatizes a real-life theoretical debate over the shape of the universe, regarding orientable and non-orientable kinds of three-dimensional space. Charlotte is a compelling and relatable protagonist with noble, if also a little selfish, personal goals. This is also one of those Egan stories where the author leaps down a mathematical rabbit-hole (complete with 3D diagrams), and the reader’s level of enjoyment is likely to depend on one’s love of geometry relative to the author’s. Still, “Didicosm” is a solid story, if not among Egan’s very best.

Egan offers an even more thorough – if occasionally head-spinning – account of what a didicosm is on his website, for those interested in further understanding the concept.